Bowcast

Rainbow forecast for Reykjavík

Reykjavík, Iceland: today's peak estimated rainbow chance, the best forecast interval to look up, and the week ahead.

Checking about 40 forecast ensemble members for sunlit rain near Reykjavík…

Open the live map for Reykjavík

Rainbow weather in Reykjavík

Reykjavík is a mid-ocean island climate: volcanic terrain squeezes showers out of clean maritime air, and the surrounding sea keeps them small and fast-moving. Clean air makes for unusually vivid colors when a bow appears.

At 64.2° north, Reykjavík's rainbow geometry changes strongly with the seasons. Summer favors early and late hours; the lower winter sun can keep the geometry open longer, although daylight is shorter.

Wherever you are, the geometry is the same: a primary rainbow forms opposite the sun while the sun is less than about 42 degrees above the horizon. Bowcast's research-informed heuristics give extra weight to clearing showers. The gauge above applies them to ensemble forecasts for the 12 km around Reykjavík.

Rainbow questions, answered

When do rainbows appear in Reykjavík?
Rainbows need sunlit rain with the sun lower than about 42 degrees, so in Reykjavík useful windows often occur after sunrise or before sunset on showery days. A study in ZhaoSu, China found that about nine in ten observed rainbows occurred during the hour after rainfall. Bowcast uses that regional finding as research guidance, not a universal rate.
Where should I look for a rainbow in Reykjavík?
Always directly opposite the sun: put the sun at your back and look toward the retreating rain. In the evening that means looking east; in the morning, west.
What is the estimated rainbow chance in Reykjavík today?
Bowcast checks about 40 forecast ensemble members for sunlit-rain ingredients around Reykjavík, hour by hour, for the next 7 days. The result is an estimated chance from model agreement, not a probability calibrated against observed rainbow frequencies. This page shows today's peak and best forecast interval; the Now board shows the interval containing the current time.

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